Automating and replacing old activities is something that worries many employees. In a few years, new reality such as the Gig Economy have conditioned sectors such as transport or restaurants. But which jobs may be most at risk of disappearing in the coming years?
The latest report in this regard comes from the United States, where a new analysis by the Bureau of Labor Statistics estimates that job growth will slow down in the next 10 years amid a sharp decline in the country’s active labor force and aging of the population.
Administrative and retail trade, among the sectors most affected
After the coronavirus pandemic pushed many people to shop online, retail is projected to lose more than 500,000 jobs through 2030 in the United States. The levels of online shopping, especially in food, although they have also shot up, they have not grown so much in Spain, so this data may not be so assimilable.
According to the North American report, the occupations that will experience the greatest decline in the next ten years are divided into three categories : administrative and office support, sales and retail trade, and production.
More than half of the sectors forecast to suffer the hardest losses are manufacturing, where international competition and new technologies have cut jobs.
Office support functions include assistants and secretaries responsible for administrative work, who are being affected by increasingly efficient software.
The decline in sales and production functions can also be attributed to technology, specifically the increase in e-commerce and advanced manufacturing equipment.
Total employment in the US is expected to grow to 165.4 million in the next 10 years, however the percentage of the population working or actively seeking employment is projected to fall from 61.7% in 2020 to 60.4% in 2030. This decline, the report notes, can be attributed to aging baby boomers, but also to a general decline in labor force participation.